关键词: 钟摆, 社区, 社会工作者, 人数, CLDS

Abstract: Based on the scale of the number of full-time social workers in the community, this paper puts forward the development view of social workers in a bell swing way, and investigates the current situation and influencing factors of the number of full-time social workers in the community based on the data of two periods of China’s labor force survey. It is found that in recent years, the number of full-time social workers in the community has decreased both in total and per 10 000 people, which highlights the pendulum development effect of the number of community social workers. Further statistical analysis of Poisson distribution shows that: first, the imbalance of social work development areas has been alleviated. In 2014, the number of community full-time social workers in the eastern region was significantly higher than that in the central and western regions, and the phenomenon did not exist in 2016. Secondly, the number of special groups such as the disabled in the community has a significant positive effect on the number of full-time social workers in the community. At the same time, the economic structure of the community will also affect the number of full-time social workers, highlighting the demand orientation and economic basis of the pendulum development of social workers. Third, the length of service of community directors has a positive effect on the number of community full-time social workers. Fourth, the deterioration of community security has raised the demand for the number of full-time social workers in the community. Based on this, this paper puts forward some countermeasures and suggestions on the construction of social workers’ talent team.

Key words: Pendulum, community, social workers, number, CLDS